Voting Intention – 10th February

10th February 2012

  • The recent Tory surge since the start of December seems to have reached a plateau with the blues slipping by 2 percentage points while Labour remain steady on 36%
  • The Lib Dems will also be relieved to be cracking double figures again (10%) while maintaining a steady lead over UKIP (6%) who have come close to challenging their place as the third party in other polls.
  • Approval ratings for Prime Minister David Cameron (-1% net approval) and Labour Leader Ed Miliband (-31% net approval) remain broadly unchanged from the previous survey two weeks ago with David Cameron maintaining his post-veto bounce, while Lib Dem Leader Nick Clegg has seen his net approval rating slip slightly to -37%, returning to his recent average after a brief uptick in the previous survey.

Topline Voting Intention

Liberal Democrats10+2
Other parties18n/c

Other Parties (breakdown)

Plaid Cymru1+1

Voting Intention Tracker

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,960 GB adults aged 18+ from 10th to 13th February 2012. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium?s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.