Polling Results

UK: Voting intention – 16th December 2020

Final voting intention poll of 2020 has Labour and the Conservatives neck-and-neck on 39%

Labour have dropped a point and the Tories have gained one, changing a 2 point Labour lead into a 39% tie, continuing the pattern of the two parties being effectively tied with any leads largely the result of statistical noise and sampling variation.

Throughout the pandemic, even when net approval of how the government was handling the crisis was hugely positive, when we asked about individual aspects of tackling the health crisis (such as PPE provision for NHS workers, testing generally or test & trace specifically), the response was much more negative. However, when we asked about how they were handling the economic crisis, views were much more positive.

While the vaccine rollout has only just begun, the government will be encouraged by the fact that the pattern of public approval for their handling of it is much closer to views of the latter than the former.

You can find the full report here.

You can find the full data tables here.