Polling Results

Political Polling – 28th May 2013

28th May 2013

Labour have another double digit lead, 37% to 26% for the Conservatives. This comes after two polls towards the end of April which saw leads of just 6 and 7 points before returning to 10 points in mid-May.

  • The Lib Dems are down to 6% while UKIP hit a high of 21%, changes of -1 point and +1 point respectively from the last poll two weeks ago
  • All three party leaders see drops in their net approval ratings and both Prime Minister David Cameron and Labour leader Ed Miliband have twice as many voters disapproving of their job performance as approve
  • David Cameron drops to -28% from -26% (56% disapprove while 28% approve)
  • Ed Miliband drops from -19% to -22% (22% approve, 44% disapprove)
  • Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg drops to 12% who approve and 62% who disapprove giving him a net rating of -50%

We’ve broken several records this week; 26% is the lowest Opinium have ever recorded for the Conservatives since we began political polling prior to the 2010 General Election, 6% is the lowest we have recorded for the Lib Dems and 21% is the highest we have recorded for UKIP.

We also asked a number of questions about the situation in Syria, the data for which is available in the tables below. Analysis of this will be published on this site later this week.

Topline Voting Intention

Liberal Democrats6-1
Other parties31+2

Other Parties (breakdown)

Plaid Cymru1n/c

Approval ratings

% Approve% DisapproveNet ratingNet rating (own party)
David Cameron28%56%-28%+74%
Ed Miliband22%44%-22%+36%
Nick Clegg12%62%-50%+35%

Voting Intention Tracker
Voting Intention Tracker (including UKIP)

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,948 GB adults aged 18+ from 28th – 31st May 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium?s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.

  • Be part of research that shapes the decisions of government, charities and brands