Political Polling 18th September 2018
Labour†take a 2-point lead in the polls
The Conservative vote share has dropped 2 points since last week, with the Liberal Democrats and UKIP vote share increasing
Leader Approval Ratings
In the week of the Liberal Democrat Conference, Vince Cable?s disapproval ratings have increased, with a net approval of -16 compared to -11 last week.
Theresa May?s lead over Jeremy Corbyn on who would make the best prime minister has remained fairly stable since last week, rising from 9 points to 10 points (currently it stands at 33% for May vs 23% for Jeremy Corbyn).
Current news topics
Only 28% of the public have heard or read about Vince Cable?s speech at the Liberal Democrat Conference. In comparison, half of the public (54%) have heard about May saying that MPs will have a choice between her proposed ?Chequer?s deal? with the EU or no deal at all. The proportion of the public who† have heard or read about the topical news of this past week are:
- Theresa May says that MPs will have a choice between her proposed ?Chequers deal? with the EU or no deal at all – 54%
- The Migration Advisory Committee?s report said EU workers ‘should get no special treatment’ after Brexit – 42%
- Vince Cable’s speech at the Liberal Democrat conference – 28%
- Theresa May stopped for a photograph with a newlywed couple on the Isle of Wight – 24%
- Gina Miller?s speech at the Liberal Democrat conference – 16%
No deal Brexit
Over half (56%) of the public think that there should be another general election if the UK does not secure a deal with the EU by 29th March 2019
- 77% of Remainers think a general election should be held in this scenario, compared to a third (36%) of Leavers.
An overwhelming majority (84%) of the public think that there will be a leadership challenge in the Conservative Party in the event of a no deal, with 78% of Conservative voters also thinking this will be the case.