Polling Results

Voting intention – 9th September

The Tory lead returns

The Conservatives have a 3 point lead after the two parties were tied in the last poll on 40%. Given natural sample variation, this suggests that the “true” figure remains a tiny Conservative lead with poll results coming in within a confidence interval of that.The Conservatives and Labour’s vote share is now neck and neck, with voting intention for both parties at 40%.

However, Boris Johnson’s approval rating remains negative (net rating of -7% compared to -8% in late August) while Keir Starmer has recovered from his temporary dip, returning to +20% approval.

Second wave

Four in five people (81%) are braced for a second wave of the coronavirus later this year as the infection rate continues to rise in the UK. Just 12% are optimistic that there will not be a second outbreak in 2020.

Meanwhile, two-thirds (66%) are in support of the Government’s “rule of six” restrictions which comes into force on Monday. The proportion that feel the UK is coming out of lockdown too quickly has risen from 45% to 51% in the last two weeks, while the number who believe the UK is moving “at the right speed” has dropped from 31% to 24%.

Brexit breaches

As focus returned to the Brexit withdrawal agreement this week, almost half (46%) say the Government’s proposal to breach international law with regard to UK internal market bill is unacceptable. A third (33%) say it is acceptable.

You can find the full report here.

You can find the full data tables here.