Polling Results

UK: London Mayor voting intention – 7 April 2021

Sadiq Khan maintains strong lead in our latest Mayoral election poll

Sadiq Khan remains in the lead in Opinium’s latest public poll for the 2021 London Mayoral race and could even win in the first round with over half the first preference votes. Down 2% on the last poll, Khan is on 51% of votes vs. 29% for the Conservative candidate Shaun Bailey, up 1% on the last poll.

Green candidate Siân Berry and Liberal Democrat candidate Luisa Porritt are tied third on 8%, both up 1 point on the last poll, ahead of UKIP’s Peter Gammons on 1% and Women’s Equality Party candidate Mandu Reid. 2% selected “another candidate”.

Despite his large lead in the polls, Khan’s net approval is relatively narrow. Two in five (41%) approve of how he is handling his job as Mayor of London, while 34% disapprove. Kahn’s approval is noticeably down on Opinium’s last poll, when 47% approved of how has acted as mayor vs 31% disapproving. This latest poll found that a fifth (19%) of Labour voters disapprove of Sadiq Khan’s performance.

Crime (43%), The NHS (40%), housing (39%) and the economy (34%) were found to be the top issues facing London according to its residents – with crime jumping from third most important on 43% in Opinium’s last poll, to most important at 43%. When looking at who Londoners believe has the best approach at dealing with these issues, Sadiq Kahn is in the lead across all four key issues.

This is the second of three public polls Opinium will be conducting for the London Mayoral election.

Please find the full data tables here.