Polling Results

Political Polling – 5th February 2013

5th February 2013

  • The Conservatives have gained 1 point on their position two weeks ago taking them to 29%
  • Labour have seen their share of the vote fall 2 points to 39%, which reduced their lead over the Conservatives to 10%. Last month Labour had a 13 point
  • Neither the Liberal Democrats and UKIP have changed their position from the previous poll; they are flat on 8% and 14% respectively
  • The proportion of people saying they will vote for some other party (including UKIP) has risen by a single point to 24%
  • David Cameron has continued to see a drop in his net approval rating which is now -21%. This is down from -19% in the last poll and -14% before that. 31% approve of his performance, down from 33% two weeks ago. 52% disapprove, unchanged from the previous poll
  • Ed Miliband?s net approval rating has dropped 4 points from -15% to -19%. 43% disapprove while 26% approve of how he is doing his job as Leader of the Opposition
  • Nick Clegg?s approval is up one point on 14% but his disapproval has increased to 63%, giving him a net rating of -49%

Topline Voting Intention

Liberal Democrats8n/c
Other parties24+1

Other Parties (breakdown)

Plaid Cymru0-1

Approval ratings

% Approve% DisapproveNet ratingNet rating (own party)
David Cameron31%52%-21%+76%
Ed Miliband24%43%-19%+41%
Nick Clegg14%63%-49%+51%

Voting Intention Tracker

Voting Intention Tracker inc. UKIP

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,953 GB adults aged 18+ from 5th to 7th February 2013. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium?s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.

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