Polling Results

See the full data tables here.

Kemi’s Conference Boost

• Kemi Badenoch’s approval rating ticks up 8 points following Tory Party Conference
• A third of the UK public reacted positively to Badenoch’s conference speech
• Starmer’s approval remains low at net -41%
• Reform UK continues to lead in the polls, with around a third of the vote
• 3 in 5 continue to support the UK having a monarchy

Following the headline moment of Conservative Party Conference this week – leader Kemi Badenoch’s speech – the latest polling from Opinium shows that a third (33%) of the public received her speech positively, compared to 18% who viewed it negatively. But nearly half (49%) said they did not have an opinion, showing many did not pay attention to the speech.

Over the course of the Conference week, Kemi Badenoch has also seen a noticeable improvement in her approval rating, although she remains in net negative territory (-14%, +8). Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s approval rating continues to languish at net -41% (+3).

Tory turnaround?

In a rare sign of optimism for the beleaguered Tories, the latest polling shows the Conservatives up 6% on last week on the issue of whether they are ready for government, at net -31%. The Tories scored worst among the public on being “in touch with ordinary people” (-36%, +2), while they scored best on “knowing what [the Party] stands for” (-12%, +4).

Meanwhile, the Tories seem to have a much better week then Labour, with 28% of the public saying the Tories have had a good week, compared to 30% who think it was bad (41% don’t know). Labour are over ten points behind, with only 17% thinking they’d had a good week, compared to nearly half (47%) who said it was bad.

Jenrick divides opinion

The Conservative Shadow Justice Secretary, Robert Jenrick, also drew headlines this week over a controversial comment about not seeing another white face when visiting an area in Birmingham. A third (32%) concluded that Jenrick’s comment was racist, while 44% thought it was not racist. Views differ sharply by age, with two in five (39%) of 18-34 year olds thinking it was racist and 30% think it was not, compared with a fifth (22%) of those aged 65+ thinking it was racist and 58% thinking it was not.  

PM Polling

Reform leader Nigel Farage remains the public’s favourite option to lead the country, but his lead over Starmer has reduced to 2 points from a previous 5-point lead. However, Starmer remains the preferred favourite over Badenoch with a 5-point lead, although this has fallen from 9 points before the Tory Party Conference.

The public’s voting intentions remained relatively steady over the Conference week, with a slight improvement for the Conservatives and a dip for Reform: Reform: 32% (-2), Labour: 22% (+1), Conservative: 18% (+2), Lib Dem: 11% (-1%), and Green: 10% (n/c).

Mood around the Monarchy

In a week where Prince William has caused a stir by talking publicly about how he would transform the monarchy, the latest polling shows nearly three in five (57%) Brits still support keeping the monarchy, with only 23% favouring a republic.

Priya Minhas, Associate Director at Opinium, said:

“The Conservative Party saw a slight lift from their Conference week, but it’s not enough to shift the dial. Badenoch’s personal boost has not translated into meaningful gains for her party. Even with a 6-point rise on readiness for government, they remain deep in negative territory.  Reform’s continued lead shows voters are still looking elsewhere for answers. The Conservatives may have had a better week, but gaining the public’s trust is still a long way off.”

FOOTNOTE

Opinium conducted a nationally and politically representative survey of 2,050 UK adults aged 18+ between 8th-10th October 2025.