Opinium Voting Intention: 5th November 2025
See the latest data tables here.
More than half of the UK public believe both Prime Minister Keir Starmer (56%) and Chancellor Rachel Reeves (57%) should resign, according to our latest polling. The findings reveal deepening public distrust in Labour’s handling of the economy, with most expecting the upcoming Autumn Budget to be unfair and to bring further tax rises.
Resignation Calls for Starmer and Reeves
Over half (56%) of Britons think Keir Starmer should step down as Prime Minister, compared to 26% who want him to remain in post and 19% who are unsure. Even among 2024 Labour voters, a third (33%) believe he should resign, while just over half (52%) think he should stay.
A similar picture emerges for Rachel Reeves: 57% of the public think she should resign as Chancellor, with only 19% wanting her to continue and 24% undecided. Among 2024 Labour voters, 38% think she should go, while 42% want her to remain.
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch fares slightly better, with more people wanting her to stay (34%) than to resign (28%), though two in five (38%) have no opinion.
Economic Confidence at a Low
Trust in Labour’s economic management has plummeted. Keir Starmer (-41%) and Rachel Reeves (-48%) are now the least trusted politicians on financial matters, while distrust extends across the political spectrum.
| Politician | Trust | Distrust | Don’t Know | Net Trust |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keir Starmer, Prime Minister | 24% | 65% | 11% | -41 |
| Rachel Reeves, Chancellor | 19% | 67% | 14% | -48 |
| Kemi Badenoch, Conservative leader | 29% | 48% | 23% | -19 |
| Mel Stride, Shadow Chancellor | 18% | 36% | 45% | -18 |
| Ed Davey, Lib Dem leader | 32% | 37% | 32% | -5 |
| Nigel Farage, Reform UK leader | 34% | 53% | 14% | -19 |
| Zack Polanski, Green Party leader | 25% | 34% | 41% | -9 |
Even among Labour voters, only 40% trust Reeves on the economy, while nearly half (48%) do not.
Public Braced for “Unfair” Budget
With the Autumn Budget approaching, most Britons expect bad news.
A majority (58%) believe Labour’s decisions on spending and taxation will be unfair, with just 14% saying they will be fair.
Over three-quarters (77%) expect taxes to rise, despite Labour’s 2024 manifesto ruling out increases to income tax, VAT, or National Insurance. Six in ten (61%) say raising these taxes would be the wrong decision, compared to only 19% who believe it would be right.
Half (50%) of the public believe Reeves planned to raise taxes all along, while just 20% think the decision would reflect worsening economic conditions since the election.
A Question of Honesty
Fewer than a quarter (22%) of people think Starmer and Labour were open and honest about the challenges facing the UK before the 2024 election. Six in ten (61%) say they were not — a deterioration from August 2024, when 32% considered the party honest.
Approval Ratings
Rachel Reeves’ approval rating has fallen sharply, down nine points to net -47%.
Starmer’s approval remains at -45%, while Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has seen a modest rise to -10%.
| Politician | Approve | Disapprove | Net Approval | Change (since Oct 2024) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keir Starmer, Prime Minister | 17% | 62% | -45 | (n/c) |
| Rachel Reeves, Chancellor | 13% | 60% | -47 | -9 |
| Kemi Badenoch, Conservative leader | 21% | 38% | -17 | (n/c) |
| Nigel Farage, Reform UK leader | 32% | 42% | -10 | +4 |
| Ed Davey, Lib Dem leader | 23% | 25% | -2 | +1 |
| Zack Polanski, Green Party leader | 21% | 22% | -1 | +1 |
Voting Intention
Reform UK now holds a 33% lead (+3), followed by Labour on 20% (no change) and the Conservatives on 17% (-1).
The Liberal Democrats remain on 12%, while the Greens slip slightly to 11% (-1).
Farage also holds a three-point lead over Starmer on who would make the best Prime Minister.
Methodology
Opinium conducted a nationally and politically representative survey of 2,050 UK adults aged 18 and over between 5–7 November 2025.