Voting Intention – 13th July

13th July 2012

Labour have a slightly smaller lead than in previous surveys but on 41% are still 9 points ahead of the Conservatives on 32%. The Liberal Democrats remain on 9% while UKIP are on 8%.

  • David Cameron’s approval rating improves a little to 32%. Combined with a slight decline in the number disapproving this gives him a net rating of -19%
  • 26% approve of Labour leader Ed Miliband’s job performance while 40% disapprove giving him a net rating of -14%
  • Nick Clegg’s net approval rating remains at 14% while 60% disapprove giving him a net rating of -46%

Topline Voting Intention

Liberal Democrats9n/c
Other parties18-3

Other Parties (breakdown)

Plaid Cymru0-1

Approval ratings

% Approve% DisapproveNet ratingNet rating (own party)
David Cameron32%51%-19%+72%
Ed Miliband26%40%-14%+36%
Nick Clegg14%60%-46%+38%

Voting Intention Tracker

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,951 GB adults aged 18+ from 13th to 16th July 2012. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium?s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.