Polling Results

Political Polling – 10th September

10th September 2012

Labour’s lead has slipped to 8 points (down from 11) with the party on 40% compared to 32% for the Conservatives. The Lib Dems pull ahead of UKIP again with 10% to 9% for UKIP

  • Ed Miliband’s net approval rating is better than David Cameron’s but only by 1 percentage point. When we subtract the number who disapprove from the number who approve, the Labour leader has a net rating of -17% compared to -18% for the Prime Minister. This has been caused by a 2 point uptick in the number who disapprove of Mr Miliband compared to an equivalent decrease for Mr Cameron
  • 13% of likely voters approve of Lib Dem leader Nick Clegg while 60% disapprove giving him a net rating of -47%

Topline Voting Intention

% Change
Conservative 32 +1
Labour 40 -2
Liberal Democrats 10 +2
Other parties 18 -1

Other Parties (breakdown)

% Change
UKIP 9 n/c
Green 3 n/c
SNP 3 n/c
BNP 2 n/c
Plaid Cymru 1 +1
Other 1 n/c

Approval ratings

% Approve % Disapprove Net rating Net rating (own party)
David Cameron 32% 50% -18% +67%
Ed Miliband 24% 41% -17% +39%
Nick Clegg 13% 60% -47% +31%

Opinium Research carried out an online survey of 1,961 GB adults aged 18+ from 10th to 12th September 2012. Results have been weighted to nationally representative criteria.

Interview Method and Sample

This survey is conducted online by CAWI (computer aided web interviewing), using Opinium?s online research panel of circa 30,000 individuals. This research is run from a representative sample of GB adults (aged 18+ in England, Scotland and Wales). The sample is scientifically defined from pre-collected registration data containing gender, age (18-34, 35-54, and 55+), region (North East, North West, Yorkshire and Humberside, East Midlands, West Midlands, East of England, London, South East, South West, Wales, and Scotland), working status and social grade to match the latest published ONS figures.

Opinium also takes into account differential response rates from the different demographic groups, to ensure the sample is representative.